Monte Carlo Simulation using What If Analysis - Normal Distribution
Revenue FC VC
Rent Tax License Maintenance Order Cost Holding Cost Training Data migration
Expected 428,824 50,000 100,000 2,000 1,000 104,650 84,496 5,000 40,000
Std 550 3,000 40,000 100 50 4,097 2,317 1,000 5,000
Net
1st simulation 429,394 54,177 117,166 2,141 1,065 101,814 81,798 4,968 44,767 21,497
Total simulations: 1000
Probability of Profit Simulation Outcome
mean 41,627 1 21,497
std 41,624 2 50,678
min -89,238 3 44,316
max 151,898 4 116,379
5 122,489
Risk of loss 31% 6 101,329
7 76,206
8 32,273
9 65,579
10 21,255
11 27,537
12 44,274
13 64,648
14 18,249
15 36,230
16 -1,578
17 -14,140
18 -24,991
19 95,465
20 74,356
21 74,673
22 87,820
23 90,054
24 -430
25 -6,773
26 24,735
27 73,431
28 37,367
29 35,147
30 76,164
31 49,388
32 1,617
33 43,464
34 63,411
35 38,033
36 17,627
37 67,964
38 85,397
39 61,462
40 45,948
41 45,661
42 100,454
43 42,253
44 18,030
45 20,803
46 100,762
47 -19,866
48 -13,155
49 4,775
50 122,577
51 62,455
52 16,812
53 -36,873
54 13,740
55 4,640
56 47,628
57 28,701
58 76,433
59 61,522
60 67,545
61 21,546
62 12,266
63 95,224
64 105,590
65 48,529
66 60,335
67 24,594
68 147,753
69 65,675
70 -23,533
71 35,670
72 5,192
73 -33,617
74 34,611
75 3,228
76 119,753
77 89,522
78 111,038
79 29,740
80 -23,798
81 22,753
82 120,116
83 61,434
84 41,916
85 28,698
86 23,144
87 10,419
88 17,402
89 58,534
90 38,272
91 31,932
92 35,292
93 12,702
94 95,639
95 108,150
96 144,596
97 91,448
98 1,566
99 86,186
100 17,221
101 45,137
102 118,525
103 54,110
104 83,596
105 58,548
106 5,302
107 34,493
108 76,596
109 69,577
110 103,308
111 35,507
112 56,091
113 92,443
114 42,344
115 61,763
116 56,201
117 50,881
118 4,742
119 59,988
120 20,075
121 151,898
122 54,197
123 -55,292
124 -4,074
125 87,073
126 -26,160
127 14,930
128 102,332
129 -6,621
130 52,388
131 24,887
132 84,743
133 111,631
134 -4,067
135 69,311
136 61,804
137 14,947
138 53,485
139 -24,400
140 16,798
141 41,700
142 21,544
143 80,490
144 4,747
145 86,177
146 -19,836
147 33
148 42,966
149 -42,456
150 53,725
151 40,831
152 120,598
153 71,650
154 57,410
155 59,248
156 -54,811
157 -69,789
158 7,397
159 84,554
160 44,709
161 70,925
162 -24,929
163 64,155
164 86,729
165 73,309
166 44,767
167 74,540
168 63,033
169 76,100
170 51,583
171 51,026
172 74,173
173 -2,114
174 39,242
175 73,108
176 13,833
177 35,717
178 71,531
179 110,951
180 2,450
181 69,707
182 21,792
183 20,038
184 12,308
185 58,607
186 -37,874
187 35,622
188 58,005
189 54,496
190 12,585
191 41,021
192 43,018
193 37,473
194 53,692
195 18,407
196 45,208
197 22,760
198 81,450
199 -2,233
200 70,549
201 48,468
202 35,537
203 39,940
204 -32,416
205 -16,996
206 -23,603
207 92,141
208 62,775
209 55,620
210 76,657
211 18,945
212 -6,305
213 103,941
214 82,553
215 91,516
216 79,490
217 102,147
218 40,503
219 31,546
220 35,748
221 45,828
222 58,977
223 82,618
224 33,005
225 114,227
226 95,523
227 19,605
228 -13,503
229 -54,990
230 80,865
231 18,005
232 42,167
233 35,769
234 28,418
235 11,356
236 -51,556
237 72,976
238 66,609
239 50,769
240 23,354
241 -37,107
242 -17,356
243 50,634
244 34,951
245 35,956
246 -2,799
247 6,137
248 52,840
249 111,468
250 44,318
251 43,153
252 15,262
253 84,043
254 10,077
255 16,045
256 80,101
257 40,760
258 -56,768
259 17,311
260 68,193
261 59,745
262 82,930
263 81,858
264 91,629
265 14,729
266 17,217
267 62,268
268 91,623
269 4,234
270 112,580
271 32,825
272 121,787
273 43,066
274 115,781
275 46,061
276 19,543
277 -5,675
278 41,265
279 36,939
280 69,037
281 41,158
282 9,129
283 73,184
284 30,408
285 68,551
286 4,181
287 91,778
288 64,133
289 -9,716
290 22,787
291 14,341
292 23,043
293 106,280
294 111,544
295 30,452
296 32,903
297 -48,507
298 71,520
299 92,931
300 66,087
301 -10,014
302 13,216
303 20,330
304 49,637
305 70,305
306 61,917
307 -14,217
308 79,046
309 -27,612
310 82,174
311 63,727
312 104,646
313 23,478
314 42,626
315 51,362
316 59,886
317 33,069
318 -26,846
319 75,371
320 46,847
321 15,104
322 51,053
323 7,876
324 33,209
325 37,100
326 60,871
327 99,922
328 41,851
329 22,356
330 108,522
331 41,207
332 -57,942
333 52,354
334 3,478
335 48,560
336 108,770
337 68,869
338 22,069
339 42,159
340 78,726
341 118,305
342 -18,217
343 70,678
344 -30,363
345 67,419
346 100,539
347 20,308
348 49,952
349 21,944
350 17,699
351 -34,677
352 2,166
353 83,592
354 -5,262
355 -9,982
356 31,078
357 38,176
358 40,227
359 36,155
360 112,806
361 -14,291
362 25,160
363 46,140
364 91,350
365 89,636
366 63,458
367 74,977
368 76,689
369 20,585
370 -8,520
371 -5,588
372 21,924
373 62,979
374 -28,083
375 44,176
376 41,888
377 49,750
378 45,082
379 39,487
380 67,084
381 56,099
382 -34,577
383 7,830
384 66,811
385 43,155
386 21,274
387 84,946
388 33,885
389 -4,161
390 55,689
391 96,909
392 -5,874
393 -29,576
394 119,610
395 17,051
396 16,753
397 43,774
398 36,412
399 21,767
400 52,273
401 1,813
402 37,591
403 70,765
404 -19,652
405 -11,523
406 72,458
407 58,037
408 63,510
409 25,660
410 74,425
411 29,801
412 36,650
413 64,476
414 37,385
415 -2,940
416 59,244
417 49,409
418 -9,929
419 32,620
420 117,159
421 40,058
422 24,210
423 34,529
424 46,394
425 20,723
426 43,687
427 62,107
428 17,509
429 30,027
430 -55,280
431 111,802
432 62,233
433 10,861
434 8,314
435 24,453
436 2,185
437 97,498
438 58,521
439 119,496
440 54,404
441 1,293
442 61,979
443 -53,739
444 53,278
445 33,664
446 43,539
447 3,463
448 107,846
449 -52,095
450 72,809
451 93,134
452 15,726
453 44,670
454 78,868
455 57,272
456 33,083
457 63,262
458 11,850
459 40,033
460 38,631
461 110,354
462 36,617
463 22,433
464 26,290
465 38,217
466 76,165
467 34,217
468 18,338
469 53,558
470 73,428
471 25,804
472 123,513
473 83,345
474 -16,327
475 112,473
476 34,090
477 66,304
478 45,631
479 21,197
480 16,149
481 21,583
482 -54,067
483 -50,345
484 34,663
485 -18,149
486 96,602
487 35,926
488 48,095
489 124,049
490 -6,649
491 37,848
492 70,706
493 43,813
494 -43,988
495 87,369
496 2,296
497 -20,518
498 86,922
499 110,503
500 21,933
501 75,093
502 1,244
503 10,851
504 15,496
505 48,794
506 -523
507 35,089
508 91,225
509 113,721
510 1,344
511 70,145
512 23,948
513 -10,064
514 36,580
515 13,279
516 950
517 33,952
518 -9,756
519 47,877
520 -11,823
521 46,256
522 45,366
523 -26,204
524 54,182
525 65,659
526 79,128
527 -89,238
528 74,042
529 62,386
530 21,516
531 42,788
532 98,357
533 27,736
534 9,393
535 122,059
536 86,632
537 46,979
538 56,054
539 90,438
540 -11,327
541 34,441
542 -7,962
543 15,139
544 120,475
545 -21,396
546 40,343
547 55,827
548 -7,850
549 30,327
550 11,076
551 34,615
552 44,714
553 -5,624
554 36,630
555 19,348
556 42,059
557 61,764
558 44,470
559 46,014
560 111,391
561 23,638
562 38,079
563 -8,704
564 44,533
565 -15,413
566 80,123
567 35,932
568 -22,442
569 5,484
570 33,405
571 70,655
572 5,546
573 71,547
574 55,613
575 -17,495
576 36,467
577 53,435
578 28,971
579 -41,220
580 70,283
581 31,953
582 108,014
583 133,417
584 54,674
585 76,187
586 31,560
587 63,753
588 -11,079
589 64,501
590 6,344
591 -5,703
592 9,665
593 143,905
594 50,961
595 69,939
596 -14,008
597 26,369
598 -47,137
599 91,669
600 51,564
601 101,055
602 84,234
603 48,507
604 11,938
605 51,370
606 -8,543
607 60,636
608 22,579
609 9,046
610 -3,995
611 90,272
612 33,193
613 71,472
614 5,675
615 46,773
616 79,782
617 6,138
618 23,367
619 33,367
620 44,013
621 115,547
622 44,243
623 57,579
624 73,728
625 107,327
626 24,404
627 16,266
628 -14,384
629 97,146
630 12,037
631 44,250
632 83,397
633 58,682
634 94,501
635 16,408
636 49,358
637 47,003
638 22,290
639 -12,785
640 48,682
641 58,685
642 57,216
643 111,413
644 19,349
645 65,337
646 12,841
647 49,655
648 121,022
649 63,716
650 10,057
651 112,449
652 -15,288
653 26,109
654 98,919
655 70,961
656 115,460
657 23,997
658 32,575
659 69,041
660 38,748
661 -35,384
662 30,364
663 40,818
664 43,653
665 65,203
666 117,713
667 43,012
668 54,051
669 59,200
670 46,191
671 -11,437
672 84,608
673 58,163
674 16,844
675 67,269
676 52,736
677 98,361
678 82,826
679 52,159
680 4,464
681 131,134
682 90,594
683 5,441
684 94,080
685 71,461
686 64,985
687 -11,072
688 117,273
689 104,514
690 39,356
691 106,194
692 18,878
693 -18,365
694 11,658
695 30,698
696 3,371
697 95,627
698 -34,585
699 56,870
700 -16,049
701 -6,717
702 90,550
703 50,057
704 72,590
705 44,503
706 16,138
707 20,630
708 1,081
709 67,169
710 -23,571
711 -66,056
712 97,250
713 58,006
714 26,257
715 97,005
716 92,684
717 61,085
718 22,298
719 51,408
720 -23,050
721 2,460
722 -10,238
723 -35,177
724 7,050
725 -44,438
726 -14,807
727 25,895
728 23,976
729 -86,510
730 56,379
731 56,950
732 49,521
733 -5,948
734 95,234
735 -42,611
736 34,964
737 54,618
738 70,792
739 86,749
740 -1,186
741 26,951
742 72,677
743 49,564
744 130,197
745 110,571
746 74,467
747 -10,982
748 58,446
749 32,144
750 61,144
751 1,648
752 47,287
753 -9,025
754 68,128
755 1,453
756 92,668
757 -6,036
758 21,130
759 -26,185
760 2,118
761 131,937
762 52,528
763 29,179
764 79,258
765 24,738
766 4,724
767 -61,589
768 38,039
769 24,839
770 42,707
771 9,743
772 51,547
773 87,650
774 41,152
775 -25,334
776 45,089
777 -16,892
778 68,785
779 24,101
780 31,867
781 7,985
782 44,835
783 -38,190
784 62,147
785 83,722
786 136,733
787 68,612
788 20,386
789 40,573
790 91,310
791 33,395
792 39,286
793 34,480
794 119,697
795 63,126
796 63,922
797 -22,951
798 58,170
799 -1,649
800 72,768
801 96,549
802 31,121
803 48,283
804 133,756
805 -15,923
806 -12,174
807 74,836
808 -19,327
809 26,570
810 96,970
811 18,436
812 94,291
813 2,305
814 89,995
815 29,308
816 43,184
817 86,540
818 50,944
819 -6,062
820 -87,135
821 77,585
822 43,576
823 62,628
824 -23,815
825 83,141
826 48,793
827 51,660
828 90,339
829 54,229
830 17,191
831 -13,750
832 72,440
833 777
834 25,593
835 -67,235
836 87,443
837 -24,987
838 123,113
839 108,898
840 20,965
841 21,086
842 51,906
843 42,020
844 71,150
845 90,676
846 41,873
847 42,562
848 32,979
849 56,630
850 126,223
851 107,535
852 58,145
853 109,061
854 30,321
855 23,031
856 20,159
857 7,711
858 69,144
859 46,505
860 54,427
861 36,442
862 8,393
863 -6,539
864 94,493
865 22,089
866 24,562
867 17,145
868 147,270
869 36,113
870 72,389
871 67,659
872 -14,325
873 68,294
874 60,354
875 5,681
876 102,287
877 23,391
878 48,338
879 77,371
880 84,154
881 57,062
882 37,720
883 6,884
884 63,868
885 69,124
886 70,830
887 80,078
888 117,362
889 5,140
890 17,404
891 -23,800
892 7,248
893 104,701
894 136,628
895 36,655
896 -11,728
897 -18,690
898 20,924
899 26,417
900 12,774
901 37,544
902 -32,180
903 20,495
904 99,950
905 84,787
906 8,121
907 35,164
908 73,363
909 32,072
910 21,422
911 81,539
912 79,372
913 -38,361
914 59,089
915 52,816
916 82,533
917 -9,997
918 -25,257
919 12,992
920 71,469
921 95,806
922 15,566
923 61,844
924 56,072
925 40,720
926 63,029
927 43,581
928 72,411
929 -10,685
930 8,215
931 73,887
932 24,410
933 79,600
934 45,000
935 -33,590
936 4,685
937 -37,364
938 31,537
939 -36,696
940 101,341
941 90,918
942 114,868
943 22,644
944 35,406
945 97,614
946 9,874
947 39,678
948 2,963
949 40,636
950 -22,056
951 16,388
952 30,659
953 -22,318
954 74,322
955 -38,134
956 55,539
957 70,509
958 58,717
959 45,850
960 55,563
961 -26,629
962 -40,977
963 75,714
964 93,869
965 52,655
966 38,180
967 -38,477
968 52,152
969 15,901
970 127,479
971 34,869
972 45,930
973 31,863
974 36,816
975 17,789
976 -15,524
977 -4,033
978 83,680
979 -15,467
980 45,582
981 44,722
982 70,853
983 14,868
984 67,136
985 25,465
986 55,215
987 81,670
988 42,867
989 17,397
990 14,810
991 31,465
992 75,065
993 128,686
994 -2,444
995 85,138
996 20,535
997 103,728
998 42,820
999 91,568
1000 -2,974