Monte Carlo Simulation using What If Analysis - Normal Distribution
Revenue FC VC
Rent Tax License Maintenance Order Cost Holding Cost Training Data migration
Expected 57,000 50,000 100,000 2,000 1,000 3,600 4,957 5,000 40,000
Std 6,140 3,000 40,000 100 50 0 953 1,000 5,000
Net
1st simulation 60,392 49,747 43,279 2,007 1,102 3,600 5,827 4,024 38,281 -87,476
Total simulations: 1000
Probability of Profit Simulation Outcome
mean -148,890 1 -87,476
std 41,585 2 -119,453
min -284,011 3 -178,202
max -21,389 4 -221,053
5 -179,156
Risk of loss 200% 6 -170,494
7 -118,099
8 -167,448
9 -194,552
10 -81,725
11 -87,146
12 -84,056
13 -36,344
14 -142,528
15 -109,658
16 -202,327
17 -143,773
18 -152,380
19 -153,308
20 -211,977
21 -82,470
22 -77,500
23 -160,601
24 -114,273
25 -161,453
26 -82,627
27 -145,431
28 -120,124
29 -239,022
30 -129,643
31 -126,052
32 -99,457
33 -155,018
34 -126,867
35 -129,960
36 -226,332
37 -76,029
38 -144,497
39 -155,482
40 -194,761
41 -165,363
42 -214,399
43 -148,866
44 -165,016
45 -204,165
46 -80,553
47 -154,716
48 -53,388
49 -195,947
50 -163,497
51 -136,977
52 -235,618
53 -158,457
54 -208,559
55 -161,774
56 -137,850
57 -181,231
58 -154,687
59 -159,183
60 -138,456
61 -220,884
62 -156,760
63 -138,212
64 -124,731
65 -118,853
66 -103,742
67 -114,780
68 -104,259
69 -107,696
70 -230,766
71 -110,231
72 -95,494
73 -199,855
74 -98,998
75 -163,970
76 -138,019
77 -48,578
78 -131,438
79 -138,797
80 -147,683
81 -173,311
82 -124,909
83 -154,614
84 -141,091
85 -170,354
86 -114,940
87 -173,160
88 -45,837
89 -135,597
90 -213,347
91 -167,784
92 -156,953
93 -86,867
94 -111,512
95 -97,566
96 -156,771
97 -120,441
98 -99,967
99 -192,042
100 -140,832
101 -136,364
102 -165,679
103 -172,268
104 -194,275
105 -70,314
106 -173,133
107 -149,344
108 -180,388
109 -115,780
110 -153,814
111 -153,553
112 -95,702
113 -197,656
114 -227,576
115 -146,740
116 -37,174
117 -189,816
118 -223,159
119 -138,788
120 -154,022
121 -133,773
122 -100,138
123 -63,495
124 -174,665
125 -157,659
126 -171,342
127 -159,987
128 -168,086
129 -49,657
130 -160,472
131 -233,148
132 -169,205
133 -125,608
134 -179,208
135 -115,701
136 -196,293
137 -135,596
138 -178,035
139 -91,975
140 -173,539
141 -192,460
142 -146,915
143 -176,904
144 -177,417
145 -120,674
146 -175,508
147 -240,337
148 -105,892
149 -198,592
150 -132,657
151 -88,546
152 -186,543
153 -166,721
154 -187,225
155 -142,986
156 -141,209
157 -108,180
158 -163,824
159 -119,119
160 -106,134
161 -137,059
162 -160,434
163 -138,423
164 -112,928
165 -130,788
166 -141,798
167 -196,285
168 -224,652
169 -168,523
170 -188,727
171 -197,643
172 -171,682
173 -154,350
174 -148,724
175 -107,646
176 -139,547
177 -168,304
178 -154,729
179 -126,104
180 -133,864
181 -155,186
182 -194,545
183 -183,549
184 -165,711
185 -106,012
186 -125,563
187 -186,583
188 -127,602
189 -172,464
190 -161,850
191 -58,499
192 -125,906
193 -89,929
194 -177,929
195 -133,613
196 -118,001
197 -137,801
198 -206,066
199 -186,399
200 -187,848
201 -131,856
202 -203,425
203 -166,249
204 -208,484
205 -208,837
206 -127,169
207 -188,462
208 -197,201
209 -95,497
210 -85,095
211 -168,294
212 -193,173
213 -118,491
214 -177,838
215 -155,351
216 -147,313
217 -227,455
218 -127,354
219 -47,065
220 -137,733
221 -166,753
222 -96,237
223 -204,812
224 -137,968
225 -175,805
226 -152,033
227 -190,013
228 -137,626
229 -128,880
230 -185,404
231 -147,242
232 -138,016
233 -82,557
234 -183,822
235 -194,563
236 -132,752
237 -111,018
238 -140,377
239 -160,350
240 -174,362
241 -212,270
242 -106,799
243 -47,472
244 -72,550
245 -211,637
246 -177,174
247 -155,073
248 -181,731
249 -197,365
250 -140,556
251 -161,720
252 -112,744
253 -87,531
254 -60,165
255 -148,418
256 -135,537
257 -221,238
258 -142,614
259 -115,853
260 -207,736
261 -117,770
262 -157,917
263 -64,189
264 -151,040
265 -83,564
266 -173,480
267 -155,656
268 -99,122
269 -122,492
270 -212,716
271 -154,727
272 -106,882
273 -70,213
274 -101,131
275 -284,011
276 -233,718
277 -183,272
278 -115,164
279 -109,516
280 -165,842
281 -187,032
282 -167,114
283 -152,536
284 -185,275
285 -175,154
286 -232,581
287 -189,007
288 -178,003
289 -88,930
290 -70,995
291 -158,928
292 -138,792
293 -103,101
294 -200,991
295 -146,169
296 -123,674
297 -126,534
298 -150,146
299 -115,239
300 -148,062
301 -131,338
302 -74,415
303 -189,150
304 -224,138
305 -165,517
306 -150,506
307 -72,182
308 -129,977
309 -141,628
310 -132,798
311 -137,252
312 -204,201
313 -177,382
314 -140,302
315 -89,210
316 -110,445
317 -173,703
318 -189,862
319 -95,068
320 -212,769
321 -122,531
322 -183,169
323 -140,717
324 -156,836
325 -182,961
326 -146,276
327 -199,252
328 -163,927
329 -171,339
330 -158,496
331 -205,231
332 -151,873
333 -181,292
334 -138,222
335 -141,310
336 -79,714
337 -228,631
338 -188,652
339 -214,465
340 -79,963
341 -150,599
342 -153,173
343 -103,399
344 -162,640
345 -154,194
346 -158,937
347 -187,455
348 -85,731
349 -171,149
350 -179,758
351 -155,299
352 -146,744
353 -153,102
354 -195,330
355 -156,185
356 -136,554
357 -129,861
358 -168,782
359 -151,743
360 -237,623
361 -78,919
362 -131,587
363 -215,387
364 -98,556
365 -152,512
366 -140,614
367 -163,792
368 -127,207
369 -107,546
370 -183,808
371 -134,030
372 -151,098
373 -147,882
374 -177,808
375 -81,980
376 -211,866
377 -108,926
378 -96,777
379 -56,855
380 -133,031
381 -87,441
382 -155,370
383 -112,629
384 -178,505
385 -226,552
386 -118,535
387 -121,244
388 -151,890
389 -126,502
390 -179,832
391 -83,794
392 -107,210
393 -58,085
394 -140,755
395 -131,265
396 -241,269
397 -195,118
398 -153,648
399 -142,398
400 -119,611
401 -139,185
402 -179,930
403 -98,127
404 -152,014
405 -165,006
406 -208,400
407 -134,139
408 -149,376
409 -114,435
410 -131,325
411 -179,380
412 -241,257
413 -162,297
414 -161,683
415 -208,311
416 -181,325
417 -155,102
418 -139,283
419 -111,397
420 -141,664
421 -55,460
422 -194,675
423 -95,964
424 -141,559
425 -157,914
426 -179,617
427 -127,384
428 -98,235
429 -21,389
430 -94,077
431 -189,236
432 -96,547
433 -123,573
434 -129,831
435 -185,210
436 -173,096
437 -164,708
438 -111,471
439 -185,759
440 -171,111
441 -101,811
442 -199,835
443 -140,449
444 -73,561
445 -208,175
446 -46,260
447 -187,460
448 -150,512
449 -128,244
450 -164,015
451 -191,450
452 -49,321
453 -169,717
454 -134,878
455 -179,667
456 -119,646
457 -153,627
458 -141,935
459 -216,185
460 -174,842
461 -170,789
462 -132,766
463 -119,336
464 -168,751
465 -176,631
466 -126,302
467 -199,217
468 -141,431
469 -137,034
470 -101,407
471 -205,262
472 -101,482
473 -150,619
474 -133,543
475 -190,054
476 -161,737
477 -205,877
478 -169,510
479 -197,382
480 -189,807
481 -114,558
482 -111,694
483 -129,887
484 -150,818
485 -203,125
486 -171,488
487 -66,427
488 -117,901
489 -136,311
490 -119,451
491 -110,200
492 -137,079
493 -95,758
494 -130,383
495 -207,760
496 -101,578
497 -146,689
498 -136,542
499 -129,940
500 -154,827
501 -153,188
502 -191,404
503 -179,491
504 -127,800
505 -112,482
506 -218,388
507 -171,715
508 -159,190
509 -141,400
510 -96,870
511 -157,922
512 -124,890
513 -192,606
514 -170,645
515 -140,885
516 -148,449
517 -159,574
518 -205,710
519 -116,923
520 -89,959
521 -129,995
522 -128,651
523 -178,896
524 -174,912
525 -221,387
526 -148,738
527 -135,738
528 -180,311
529 -134,180
530 -65,243
531 -146,517
532 -112,634
533 -131,034
534 -163,424
535 -153,242
536 -119,049
537 -164,446
538 -76,999
539 -171,853
540 -96,717
541 -133,020
542 -213,605
543 -176,948
544 -166,828
545 -159,831
546 -166,941
547 -152,276
548 -167,772
549 -121,364
550 -64,073
551 -167,007
552 -145,317
553 -150,797
554 -174,535
555 -108,746
556 -178,319
557 -134,188
558 -218,306
559 -87,509
560 -127,888
561 -169,790
562 -175,442
563 -147,753
564 -204,710
565 -154,965
566 -182,242
567 -81,620
568 -112,436
569 -181,510
570 -171,321
571 -137,806
572 -172,859
573 -94,558
574 -209,466
575 -161,401
576 -196,801
577 -151,664
578 -95,341
579 -177,395
580 -136,626
581 -137,834
582 -104,873
583 -166,912
584 -161,906
585 -163,874
586 -149,169
587 -162,236
588 -221,311
589 -177,406
590 -169,068
591 -205,574
592 -120,358
593 -269,666
594 -216,530
595 -165,400
596 -185,044
597 -123,425
598 -85,127
599 -141,272
600 -90,428
601 -188,093
602 -212,158
603 -143,616
604 -102,894
605 -106,375
606 -206,868
607 -189,091
608 -104,145
609 -194,601
610 -132,292
611 -83,265
612 -209,812
613 -125,340
614 -137,106
615 -101,408
616 -125,094
617 -156,917
618 -130,698
619 -179,536
620 -196,955
621 -111,670
622 -64,967
623 -99,477
624 -177,899
625 -151,216
626 -198,399
627 -232,013
628 -212,788
629 -162,421
630 -153,010
631 -151,785
632 -161,762
633 -268,384
634 -165,873
635 -100,770
636 -157,762
637 -118,489
638 -155,847
639 -196,161
640 -55,674
641 -153,663
642 -139,265
643 -150,142
644 -154,171
645 -124,903
646 -207,630
647 -76,276
648 -213,286
649 -183,938
650 -168,735
651 -206,089
652 -123,883
653 -125,430
654 -179,896
655 -145,940
656 -155,235
657 -122,954
658 -159,078
659 -144,104
660 -149,929
661 -78,952
662 -74,012
663 -159,034
664 -193,740
665 -156,788
666 -146,951
667 -169,712
668 -135,247
669 -203,101
670 -142,167
671 -196,534
672 -122,711
673 -105,975
674 -167,847
675 -149,776
676 -129,195
677 -87,429
678 -84,928
679 -169,854
680 -106,517
681 -125,028
682 -208,496
683 -133,730
684 -141,974
685 -130,681
686 -146,502
687 -172,926
688 -145,669
689 -122,791
690 -160,563
691 -91,269
692 -182,036
693 -181,043
694 -212,057
695 -187,640
696 -142,721
697 -127,068
698 -160,945
699 -199,784
700 -112,008
701 -203,622
702 -227,488
703 -135,283
704 -115,091
705 -37,890
706 -90,789
707 -184,087
708 -165,543
709 -204,966
710 -115,022
711 -117,081
712 -164,616
713 -140,646
714 -199,963
715 -140,483
716 -167,802
717 -181,781
718 -160,694
719 -142,563
720 -210,900
721 -147,381
722 -89,185
723 -224,217
724 -145,253
725 -47,494
726 -149,707
727 -184,529
728 -144,147
729 -119,989
730 -165,929
731 -128,788
732 -140,826
733 -201,852
734 -263,293
735 -108,786
736 -168,102
737 -143,412
738 -93,274
739 -101,780
740 -150,974
741 -71,313
742 -77,716
743 -167,451
744 -120,524
745 -218,645
746 -229,479
747 -157,351
748 -149,949
749 -190,357
750 -207,451
751 -135,072
752 -184,679
753 -135,199
754 -102,649
755 -168,142
756 -160,162
757 -137,598
758 -146,700
759 -207,328
760 -155,179
761 -200,514
762 -132,887
763 -81,003
764 -87,800
765 -177,610
766 -133,314
767 -138,888
768 -205,441
769 -136,592
770 -180,971
771 -189,684
772 -145,150
773 -168,960
774 -180,448
775 -77,596
776 -101,537
777 -190,057
778 -151,074
779 -182,772
780 -156,464
781 -193,011
782 -223,893
783 -99,406
784 -168,410
785 -181,308
786 -120,326
787 -98,720
788 -229,265
789 -255,014
790 -65,542
791 -201,171
792 -185,181
793 -123,166
794 -98,097
795 -81,703
796 -152,840
797 -138,989
798 -132,944
799 -114,349
800 -141,189
801 -109,791
802 -154,575
803 -119,626
804 -163,384
805 -92,159
806 -148,742
807 -176,122
808 -148,235
809 -128,758
810 -129,138
811 -145,086
812 -160,192
813 -182,144
814 -170,701
815 -101,676
816 -34,480
817 -139,492
818 -191,354
819 -95,963
820 -104,052
821 -151,865
822 -136,191
823 -123,976
824 -133,282
825 -102,067
826 -146,948
827 -111,898
828 -109,985
829 -90,290
830 -167,028
831 -126,347
832 -211,643
833 -124,131
834 -93,549
835 -203,454
836 -170,746
837 -153,448
838 -87,776
839 -106,767
840 -143,023
841 -274,304
842 -140,978
843 -247,330
844 -173,768
845 -201,923
846 -127,426
847 -116,042
848 -182,603
849 -149,938
850 -157,951
851 -121,090
852 -106,266
853 -49,358
854 -155,422
855 -161,242
856 -186,663
857 -152,732
858 -96,276
859 -99,032
860 -98,295
861 -184,783
862 -178,205
863 -139,493
864 -115,560
865 -191,817
866 -148,400
867 -126,444
868 -149,530
869 -121,892
870 -165,270
871 -146,458
872 -173,006
873 -156,897
874 -213,324
875 -184,176
876 -94,665
877 -133,634
878 -191,657
879 -122,754
880 -152,211
881 -120,419
882 -167,463
883 -207,294
884 -107,665
885 -126,000
886 -170,010
887 -78,126
888 -169,349
889 -118,355
890 -119,928
891 -129,681
892 -150,079
893 -108,034
894 -197,285
895 -112,793
896 -156,318
897 -219,617
898 -114,960
899 -180,982
900 -158,206
901 -126,459
902 -115,574
903 -144,447
904 -163,402
905 -184,001
906 -142,374
907 -175,047
908 -76,342
909 -208,644
910 -164,459
911 -145,991
912 -146,204
913 -51,870
914 -231,446
915 -102,605
916 -101,860
917 -95,503
918 -133,801
919 -140,847
920 -142,794
921 -146,931
922 -111,353
923 -218,787
924 -149,263
925 -177,838
926 -143,781
927 -151,883
928 -159,308
929 -161,862
930 -175,240
931 -179,161
932 -162,488
933 -80,637
934 -136,306
935 -182,319
936 -135,576
937 -143,016
938 -98,450
939 -122,837
940 -157,987
941 -98,147
942 -163,939
943 -200,337
944 -127,431
945 -165,243
946 -148,946
947 -174,730
948 -151,152
949 -130,021
950 -161,966
951 -217,029
952 -117,944
953 -143,432
954 -160,947
955 -159,112
956 -161,395
957 -168,761
958 -78,970
959 -252,785
960 -104,828
961 -136,367
962 -121,249
963 -177,074
964 -125,436
965 -123,614
966 -194,048
967 -191,765
968 -99,793
969 -172,158
970 -173,105
971 -147,564
972 -178,465
973 -218,984
974 -230,736
975 -98,968
976 -159,491
977 -201,569
978 -97,994
979 -206,451
980 -149,172
981 -127,715
982 -218,162
983 -161,416
984 -140,275
985 -152,727
986 -102,347
987 -195,259
988 -190,640
989 -120,741
990 -156,295
991 -90,596
992 -111,636
993 -201,708
994 -201,736
995 -145,509
996 -141,498
997 -153,378
998 -168,521
999 -120,217
1000 -129,445