Monte Carlo Simulation using What If Analysis - Normal Distribution
Revenue FC VC
Rent Tax License Maintenance Order Cost Holding Cost Training Data migration
Expected 536,030 50,000 100,000 2,000 1,000 104,650 84,496 5,000 40,000
Std 688 3,000 40,000 100 50 4,097 2,317 1,000 5,000
Net
1st simulation 537,404 51,735 111,748 2,021 1,060 105,541 84,939 4,080 37,447 138,833
Total simulations: 1000
Probability of Profit Simulation Outcome
mean 148,664 1 138,833
std 40,549 2 224,665
min 40,329 3 156,937
max 302,119 4 162,255
5 130,446
Risk of loss 0% 6 195,774
7 179,380
8 262,021
9 177,813
10 170,399
11 205,428
12 155,091
13 135,401
14 98,986
15 95,484
16 107,376
17 234,409
18 217,899
19 186,096
20 153,714
21 71,433
22 209,673
23 108,943
24 131,621
25 185,726
26 169,830
27 204,330
28 129,377
29 165,549
30 148,549
31 149,615
32 161,743
33 134,002
34 146,458
35 140,167
36 128,683
37 173,997
38 79,412
39 151,552
40 79,397
41 114,880
42 283,405
43 99,624
44 235,947
45 152,217
46 168,892
47 185,053
48 155,004
49 195,199
50 170,113
51 115,895
52 182,769
53 136,031
54 214,635
55 170,455
56 168,127
57 129,559
58 63,803
59 168,638
60 175,560
61 170,539
62 77,619
63 105,029
64 130,720
65 157,121
66 164,553
67 159,197
68 160,463
69 189,678
70 163,691
71 156,098
72 141,743
73 153,675
74 105,626
75 146,851
76 144,203
77 90,197
78 147,113
79 89,067
80 238,054
81 105,943
82 131,163
83 133,249
84 187,957
85 220,550
86 151,140
87 189,653
88 217,037
89 121,351
90 163,401
91 180,795
92 156,859
93 120,637
94 120,263
95 181,170
96 122,500
97 141,555
98 157,549
99 119,801
100 237,436
101 105,909
102 152,781
103 162,690
104 138,902
105 169,676
106 182,217
107 117,761
108 152,394
109 155,631
110 131,712
111 105,563
112 107,618
113 179,520
114 156,547
115 146,158
116 167,852
117 215,916
118 157,645
119 152,941
120 79,186
121 72,412
122 155,185
123 145,020
124 170,857
125 111,811
126 184,436
127 143,256
128 59,866
129 95,363
130 169,176
131 63,773
132 208,656
133 131,919
134 123,781
135 240,815
136 208,325
137 130,270
138 122,772
139 52,728
140 162,296
141 138,880
142 120,263
143 164,428
144 179,806
145 166,677
146 243,627
147 122,109
148 138,780
149 221,778
150 121,761
151 159,696
152 101,622
153 167,059
154 150,496
155 84,551
156 166,534
157 114,793
158 150,150
159 108,715
160 185,652
161 170,982
162 191,604
163 100,873
164 195,287
165 127,768
166 81,366
167 178,264
168 170,424
169 161,848
170 127,383
171 44,098
172 70,868
173 127,059
174 201,758
175 159,617
176 135,951
177 124,102
178 179,276
179 195,530
180 230,171
181 68,856
182 170,676
183 159,015
184 103,728
185 198,891
186 175,128
187 151,759
188 153,076
189 192,797
190 111,526
191 144,578
192 61,303
193 125,355
194 164,743
195 158,915
196 165,706
197 115,886
198 109,490
199 159,130
200 148,572
201 129,197
202 132,854
203 111,650
204 163,525
205 73,199
206 197,766
207 137,379
208 122,617
209 163,682
210 190,155
211 233,229
212 135,087
213 100,269
214 188,229
215 140,180
216 134,010
217 162,883
218 194,753
219 174,511
220 84,736
221 151,215
222 177,176
223 105,760
224 163,876
225 120,628
226 143,528
227 229,991
228 162,649
229 133,973
230 143,396
231 176,971
232 102,728
233 61,105
234 134,582
235 133,788
236 212,000
237 199,573
238 104,675
239 137,899
240 194,894
241 155,559
242 209,154
243 150,213
244 173,633
245 82,300
246 94,058
247 200,554
248 141,545
249 153,050
250 210,154
251 145,517
252 150,473
253 143,295
254 71,694
255 140,057
256 125,103
257 150,024
258 105,132
259 115,051
260 170,491
261 155,569
262 186,637
263 177,241
264 58,240
265 126,756
266 180,889
267 176,173
268 195,375
269 85,660
270 155,667
271 148,085
272 149,747
273 131,678
274 166,080
275 190,321
276 139,474
277 164,400
278 186,920
279 177,290
280 154,818
281 98,907
282 171,384
283 138,220
284 83,056
285 123,462
286 96,313
287 134,937
288 199,164
289 159,795
290 143,026
291 150,914
292 176,602
293 208,444
294 180,913
295 161,965
296 185,647
297 102,587
298 88,326
299 139,126
300 106,109
301 165,955
302 192,049
303 146,474
304 147,450
305 175,750
306 157,207
307 141,832
308 122,743
309 188,701
310 105,790
311 203,103
312 118,817
313 180,721
314 102,814
315 182,621
316 140,573
317 188,467
318 163,530
319 195,387
320 190,747
321 132,707
322 133,386
323 151,380
324 78,431
325 155,600
326 193,661
327 205,872
328 122,511
329 59,636
330 141,035
331 156,784
332 164,969
333 140,396
334 191,981
335 158,472
336 163,954
337 194,729
338 111,190
339 153,490
340 138,915
341 202,737
342 143,536
343 213,305
344 127,109
345 160,506
346 111,766
347 136,548
348 162,483
349 114,800
350 199,334
351 203,968
352 185,557
353 232,259
354 52,389
355 141,804
356 182,190
357 134,330
358 110,389
359 156,044
360 129,302
361 113,675
362 147,455
363 228,249
364 97,740
365 171,414
366 153,054
367 130,079
368 132,557
369 182,923
370 180,733
371 129,247
372 176,724
373 192,204
374 132,221
375 163,176
376 140,049
377 207,750
378 113,603
379 136,670
380 156,964
381 129,945
382 142,712
383 186,659
384 174,699
385 144,696
386 187,365
387 149,300
388 109,271
389 139,777
390 191,258
391 216,466
392 189,909
393 156,544
394 247,850
395 80,886
396 153,125
397 92,351
398 120,400
399 208,621
400 89,457
401 178,080
402 154,096
403 130,856
404 144,934
405 104,817
406 197,221
407 159,425
408 106,883
409 178,884
410 199,249
411 171,848
412 142,050
413 172,657
414 119,690
415 127,194
416 194,469
417 131,086
418 159,640
419 132,791
420 143,600
421 210,971
422 145,908
423 133,153
424 185,664
425 168,224
426 195,891
427 149,929
428 128,255
429 148,583
430 131,916
431 159,348
432 127,516
433 245,982
434 143,019
435 101,864
436 141,675
437 147,887
438 168,946
439 174,470
440 101,817
441 53,401
442 202,558
443 193,270
444 141,046
445 113,284
446 188,504
447 148,369
448 121,824
449 120,937
450 155,381
451 143,260
452 111,902
453 166,896
454 171,449
455 106,899
456 154,165
457 165,815
458 114,439
459 193,119
460 168,344
461 168,580
462 104,991
463 192,478
464 88,254
465 173,799
466 132,380
467 203,786
468 163,803
469 133,544
470 226,511
471 183,937
472 218,058
473 131,366
474 118,238
475 174,671
476 162,234
477 151,400
478 136,042
479 164,540
480 168,256
481 89,363
482 191,374
483 119,926
484 120,198
485 197,620
486 194,223
487 163,683
488 184,449
489 176,112
490 63,625
491 125,250
492 129,863
493 151,325
494 172,218
495 138,800
496 101,368
497 134,449
498 111,426
499 86,500
500 169,618
501 144,736
502 146,848
503 154,379
504 183,233
505 112,744
506 82,823
507 181,789
508 153,994
509 137,189
510 95,746
511 156,320
512 145,486
513 158,301
514 115,893
515 94,814
516 163,623
517 123,493
518 103,348
519 236,173
520 163,846
521 228,805
522 208,365
523 150,705
524 237,012
525 104,709
526 109,368
527 135,934
528 213,735
529 252,281
530 166,331
531 133,253
532 185,301
533 169,149
534 81,995
535 198,012
536 156,266
537 216,378
538 133,371
539 145,757
540 159,851
541 102,883
542 131,208
543 98,561
544 132,498
545 166,748
546 148,583
547 105,423
548 214,775
549 168,542
550 109,511
551 158,374
552 110,436
553 163,110
554 163,426
555 150,275
556 224,180
557 154,341
558 188,563
559 178,663
560 109,458
561 74,846
562 159,400
563 144,910
564 120,828
565 225,293
566 139,953
567 85,172
568 141,323
569 216,317
570 125,227
571 140,135
572 123,709
573 58,420
574 162,126
575 118,875
576 132,733
577 188,094
578 197,237
579 165,718
580 177,847
581 152,781
582 148,046
583 137,041
584 147,644
585 178,544
586 214,408
587 191,315
588 160,960
589 142,570
590 189,784
591 129,725
592 116,510
593 80,571
594 163,427
595 134,655
596 192,602
597 181,718
598 172,835
599 123,562
600 173,374
601 105,334
602 120,175
603 153,641
604 108,779
605 124,506
606 191,753
607 118,735
608 137,774
609 87,627
610 117,661
611 134,555
612 134,162
613 62,173
614 129,094
615 131,270
616 201,602
617 49,933
618 124,768
619 100,449
620 132,947
621 48,580
622 200,802
623 122,039
624 146,577
625 155,484
626 133,386
627 129,159
628 127,641
629 111,143
630 61,202
631 151,560
632 159,598
633 146,750
634 103,869
635 120,360
636 143,166
637 199,792
638 151,271
639 65,794
640 191,001
641 114,541
642 144,520
643 164,168
644 144,133
645 173,606
646 217,810
647 170,176
648 162,422
649 166,368
650 140,469
651 91,722
652 160,721
653 131,708
654 108,320
655 213,858
656 151,617
657 117,299
658 253,707
659 76,147
660 143,179
661 191,341
662 148,081
663 193,588
664 82,211
665 210,677
666 157,324
667 142,843
668 122,098
669 208,241
670 195,734
671 223,144
672 132,414
673 195,789
674 139,678
675 214,066
676 112,113
677 180,149
678 180,055
679 112,575
680 216,112
681 89,820
682 172,288
683 125,942
684 110,958
685 193,597
686 75,390
687 151,786
688 98,781
689 151,849
690 213,435
691 104,281
692 207,394
693 246,723
694 140,837
695 99,259
696 192,692
697 146,905
698 170,978
699 116,183
700 147,377
701 127,399
702 201,341
703 52,243
704 126,314
705 101,761
706 108,340
707 170,117
708 168,446
709 54,444
710 82,152
711 93,910
712 149,444
713 165,609
714 238,900
715 124,630
716 188,056
717 111,719
718 112,565
719 231,816
720 202,739
721 110,105
722 123,775
723 126,342
724 196,482
725 162,637
726 117,765
727 211,635
728 160,343
729 201,840
730 163,470
731 202,014
732 165,580
733 150,624
734 82,136
735 112,308
736 204,203
737 116,862
738 182,878
739 113,588
740 138,655
741 112,386
742 138,791
743 122,942
744 136,656
745 149,985
746 144,088
747 105,343
748 157,047
749 182,031
750 107,235
751 163,661
752 166,522
753 196,786
754 154,480
755 127,277
756 118,064
757 133,908
758 149,070
759 98,772
760 136,972
761 191,378
762 135,667
763 49,953
764 153,376
765 93,714
766 117,339
767 171,559
768 135,640
769 143,084
770 111,643
771 144,143
772 171,234
773 120,164
774 137,324
775 176,470
776 189,493
777 61,709
778 159,624
779 103,734
780 181,118
781 65,837
782 152,406
783 133,984
784 188,233
785 73,667
786 239,662
787 168,195
788 136,053
789 135,515
790 109,453
791 128,978
792 182,198
793 159,635
794 134,898
795 173,682
796 146,062
797 184,142
798 205,341
799 129,633
800 117,937
801 141,598
802 164,352
803 94,047
804 125,753
805 138,049
806 134,937
807 169,458
808 156,139
809 65,696
810 166,307
811 117,396
812 95,456
813 176,267
814 191,083
815 106,666
816 106,891
817 40,329
818 196,533
819 114,985
820 101,350
821 131,682
822 113,191
823 121,811
824 104,350
825 116,439
826 99,945
827 186,122
828 182,079
829 176,463
830 193,113
831 148,456
832 72,564
833 157,581
834 146,896
835 134,505
836 137,812
837 302,119
838 155,647
839 117,992
840 126,619
841 154,648
842 172,325
843 197,687
844 106,467
845 145,280
846 89,570
847 206,274
848 149,569
849 119,372
850 134,985
851 162,103
852 96,909
853 132,699
854 145,010
855 87,136
856 87,766
857 207,114
858 116,240
859 143,012
860 112,024
861 161,312
862 179,749
863 189,503
864 115,829
865 150,531
866 171,140
867 141,589
868 225,626
869 149,769
870 151,454
871 213,062
872 137,517
873 172,594
874 145,793
875 98,470
876 185,956
877 76,243
878 230,968
879 135,458
880 132,848
881 114,211
882 145,876
883 132,790
884 131,373
885 171,037
886 115,434
887 91,534
888 121,641
889 103,794
890 76,185
891 210,877
892 167,749
893 110,422
894 157,814
895 135,921
896 142,443
897 135,027
898 160,852
899 107,477
900 123,777
901 67,305
902 143,080
903 153,266
904 175,678
905 94,064
906 126,261
907 151,075
908 246,353
909 158,443
910 65,736
911 134,484
912 108,376
913 145,162
914 156,074
915 186,634
916 98,730
917 69,494
918 165,877
919 216,669
920 96,387
921 173,790
922 175,633
923 136,995
924 156,814
925 100,852
926 161,324
927 87,529
928 142,343
929 202,481
930 105,926
931 118,398
932 177,422
933 200,279
934 165,397
935 100,698
936 150,727
937 126,768
938 200,165
939 165,553
940 124,496
941 140,302
942 140,551
943 164,807
944 151,573
945 226,698
946 185,913
947 182,903
948 178,965
949 198,136
950 176,770
951 66,122
952 134,716
953 176,105
954 211,104
955 173,484
956 184,800
957 146,011
958 173,547
959 176,193
960 115,250
961 164,259
962 192,127
963 148,806
964 109,252
965 118,237
966 105,350
967 96,315
968 108,319
969 130,182
970 106,731
971 154,152
972 169,502
973 102,855
974 87,780
975 104,060
976 207,285
977 167,210
978 134,684
979 254,816
980 147,469
981 171,322
982 121,607
983 197,510
984 125,537
985 71,951
986 187,309
987 138,979
988 171,621
989 132,237
990 49,257
991 200,994
992 92,056
993 105,547
994 138,410
995 228,405
996 212,334
997 138,454
998 222,784
999 182,714
1000 210,520